Iranian Leadership Regime Predictions & Odds· 204 markets

W
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

0%

Yes

$2.9m Vol.
$191k Liq.
🔥$142k today
Ends in 1 day
W
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

7%

Yes

$26.4m Vol.
$787k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

78%

March 31

$33.7m Vol.
$570k Liq.
🔥$529k today
679
Ends in 3 months
K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

6%

December 31

$75.1m Vol.
$480k Liq.
🔥$97k today
519
Ends in 3 months
U
USD x Iranian rials End of December?

USD x Iranian rials End of December?

30%

2.5 - 3.0M

$58k Vol.
$145k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
USD x Iranian rials End of September? (Higher Strikes)

80%

2.5 to 2.8M

$57k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
U
USD x Iranian rials End of September?

USD x Iranian rials End of September?

99%

2.2M+

$99k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
F
Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

0%

Yes

$191k Vol.
$62k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
A
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

0%

Yes

$98k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in 1 day
U
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

6%

December 31

$29.5m Vol.
$137k Liq.
195
Ends in 3 months
H
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

1%

Yes

$209k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
P
Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?

98%

Yes

$17k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by...?

14%

October 31

$42k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

0%

Yes

$199k Vol.
$25k Liq.
2
Ends in 1 day
H
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

0%

Yes

$72k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
G
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

0%

Yes

$55k Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ends in 1 day
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What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$1.2m Vol.
$324k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 28 - October 4)

98%

Tesla

$1k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

88%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$39.7m Vol.
$2.3m Liq.
156
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

3%

Yes

$11.8m Vol.
$96k Liq.
54
Ends in 3 months