Iranian Leadership Regime Predictions & Odds· 214 markets

W
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

0%

Yes

$2.9m Vol.
$208k Liq.
🔥$106k today
Ends in 1 day
W
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

7%

Yes

$26.4m Vol.
$700k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

75%

March 31

$33.6m Vol.
$527k Liq.
🔥$601k today
677
Ends in 3 months
K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

6%

December 31

$75.0m Vol.
$322k Liq.
🔥$119k today
519
Ends in 3 months
U
USD x Iranian rials End of December?

USD x Iranian rials End of December?

31%

2.5 - 3.0M

$57k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

0%

Yes

$191k Vol.
$71k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
U
USD x Iranian rials End of September? (Higher Strikes)

78%

2.5 to 2.8M

$56k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
U
USD x Iranian rials End of September?

USD x Iranian rials End of September?

99%

2.2M+

$99k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
U
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

6%

December 31

$29.5m Vol.
$124k Liq.
195
Ends in 3 months
P
Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?

98%

Yes

$17k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by...?

14%

October 31

$42k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

0%

Yes

$199k Vol.
$26k Liq.
2
Ends in 1 day
H
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

0%

Yes

$209k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
H
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

0%

Yes

$72k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
A
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

0%

Yes

$98k Vol.
$14k Liq.
2
Ends in 1 day
G
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

0%

Yes

$55k Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ends in 1 day
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$1.2m Vol.
$180k Liq.
🔥$63k today
8
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 28 - October 4)

97%

Tesla

$1k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

No

$38.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

No

$52.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended