Iran Predictions & Odds· 208 markets

W
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

14%

Yes

$68.3m Vol.
$791k Liq.
🔥$690k today
1
Ends in 3 months
N
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

94%

March 31, 2027

$12.2m Vol.
$137k Liq.
🔥$405k today
Ends in 9 months
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

97%

September 30

$31.3m Vol.
$313k Liq.
🔥$233k today
293
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

98%

September 25

$2.0m Vol.
$521k Liq.
🔥$229k today
Ends in about 1 month
W
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

82%

USA

$6.5m Vol.
$755k Liq.
🔥$167k today
Ends in 8 days
U
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

15%

December 31

$18.0m Vol.
$361k Liq.
🔥$91k today
156
Ended
I
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

26%

June 30, 2027

$26.0m Vol.
$597k Liq.
🔥$87k today
1,089
Ends in 9 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

78%

Steve Witkoff

$906k Vol.
$196k Liq.
🔥$55k today
Ends in 9 months
I
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

40%

October 31

$2.6m Vol.
$72k Liq.
154
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

12%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$41k Liq.
8
Ends in 8 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$968k Vol.
$146k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran full airspace closure by...?

Iran · close

Iran full airspace closure by...?

22%

December 31

$9.7m Vol.
$47k Liq.
1,015
Ends in 4 months
I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

85%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$39.5m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
155
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

23%

December 31

$3.1m Vol.
$93k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

2%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$16k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

23%

Yes

$249k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

10%

Yes

$578k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

32%

October 31

$365k Vol.
$23k Liq.
6
Ends in 8 days
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

13%

Yes

$1.8m Vol.
$86k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?

Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?

10%

October 31

$92k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 8 days