Shipping Predictions & Odds· 112 markets

S
Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?

76%

September 18

$31k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
H
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

52%

September 30

$20k Vol.
$55 Liq.
Ended
J
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31?

8%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$336 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

40%

December 31, 2027

$562k Vol.
$5k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?

47%

<25

$36k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$286k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

96%

October 31

$691k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

78%

↑ $6

$843k Vol.
$66k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September?

63%

0-5

$39k Vol.
$74k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

60%

December 31

$29.7m Vol.
$512k Liq.
🔥$385k today
574
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Caspian Sea by...?

4%

September 30

$44k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
H
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 14?

59%

<170

$13k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 19 hours
0
0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by..?

17%

December 31

$5k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 14?

45%

25-29

$33k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in about 19 hours
W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?

44%

10+

$33k Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

5%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

44%

↓ 0.40

$79k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?

26%

US

$49k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 3 months