Iran Predictions & Odds· 208 markets

U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

96%

September 25

$1.8m Vol.
$504k Liq.
🔥$302k today
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

16%

Yes

$67.7m Vol.
$894k Liq.
🔥$254k today
1
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

96%

September 30

$31.1m Vol.
$308k Liq.
🔥$194k today
293
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

41%

Jared Kushner

$858k Vol.
$303k Liq.
🔥$90k today
Ends in 3 months
N
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

68%

March 31, 2027

$11.8m Vol.
$192k Liq.
🔥$81k today
Ends in 6 months
W
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

85%

No Meeting by September 30

$6.4m Vol.
$840k Liq.
🔥$64k today
Ends in 9 days
I
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

27%

June 30, 2027

$25.9m Vol.
$478k Liq.
🔥$57k today
1,089
Ends in 9 months
U
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

12%

December 31

$17.9m Vol.
$446k Liq.
156
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran full airspace closure by...?

Iran · close

Iran full airspace closure by...?

27%

December 31

$9.7m Vol.
$38k Liq.
1,015
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

32%

October 31

$2.6m Vol.
$84k Liq.
154
Ends in about 1 month
I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

84%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$39.5m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
155
Ends in 3 months
U
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

24%

October 31

$361k Vol.
$25k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 days
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

6%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$31k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

20%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$948k Vol.
$139k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran Nuke before 2027?

Iran Nuke before 2027?

5%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$94k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

5%

Yes

$638k Vol.
$37k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

4%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

13%

Yes

$571k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

8%

December 31

$17.9m Vol.
$111k Liq.
219
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

4%

Yes

$22.1m Vol.
$127k Liq.
429
Ends in 3 months