Humanitarian Pause Predictions & Odds· 137 markets

R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$278k Liq.
35
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

18%

October 31

$20k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

71%

December 31, 2027

$7.8m Vol.
$911k Liq.
216
Ends in 9 months
A
Asian Games Women: Pakistan Women vs Bangladesh Women

Sports · Games

Asian Games Women: Pakistan Women vs Bangladesh Women

77%

Pakistan Women

$105 Vol.
$566 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
A
Asian Games Women: Sri Lanka Women vs India Women

Sports · Games

Asian Games Women: Sri Lanka Women vs India Women

17%

Sri Lanka Women

$120 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30?

Yes

$53k Vol.
$0 Liq.
12
Ended
T
Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?

Yes

$1.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
33
Ended
U
US x Iran ceasefire before August?

No

$241k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
U
US x Iran ceasefire before July?

No

$348k Vol.
$0 Liq.
95
Ended
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?

Yes

$51.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
9,480
Ended
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire by Friday?

No

$286k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9,480
Ended
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

No

$9.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
US x Iran ceasefire by...?

April 30

$280.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
7,016
G
Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?

Gaza

$86k Vol.
$0 Liq.
74
Ended
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

No

$7.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Ceasefire

$101k Vol.
$0 Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Yes

$141.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
I
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

Yes

$40.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
5,948
Ended
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July 15?

Yes

$649k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9,480
Ended