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Humanitarian Pause Predictions & Odds· 131 markets

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W
Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30?

Politics·All

Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30?

Yes

$53k Vol.
$0 Liq.
12
Ended
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

Politics·Trump

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

No

$80k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
T
Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?

Politics·Trump

Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?

Yes

$1.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
33
Ended
U
US x Iran ceasefire before August?

World·Middle East

US x Iran ceasefire before August?

No

$241k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
U
US x Iran ceasefire before July?

Geopolitics·Iran

US x Iran ceasefire before July?

No

$348k Vol.
$0 Liq.
95
Ended
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?

Geopolitics·Israel

Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?

Yes

$51.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
9,480
Ended
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire by Friday?

Geopolitics·Iran

Israel x Iran ceasefire by Friday?

No

$286k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9,480
Ended
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Geopolitics·zelensky

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

No

$9.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
US x Iran ceasefire by...?

Geopolitics·Trump

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

April 30

$280.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
7,016
G
Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?

Geopolitics·zelensky

Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?

Gaza

$86k Vol.
$0 Liq.
74
Ended
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

World·Trump-Zelenskyy

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

No

$7.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Geopolitics·Trump

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Ceasefire

$101k Vol.
$0 Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

Politics·Hezbollah

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

Yes

$40.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
5,948
Ended
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Geopolitics·Ukraine Peace Deal

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Yes

$141.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
I
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in September?

Politics·Middle East

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in September?

No

$184k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July 15?

Geopolitics·Middle East

Israel x Iran ceasefire before July 15?

Yes

$649k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9,480
Ended
U
US call for Gaza ceasefire before February?

Politics·All

US call for Gaza ceasefire before February?

No

$49k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

No

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
20,361
Ended
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

World·Trump-Zelenskyy

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Yes

$60.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

Politics·Iran

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

Yes

$156k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended

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