Ukraine Peace Deal Predictions & Odds· 121 markets

U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

11%

Yes

$2.8m Vol.
$76k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?

2%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

6%

Yes

$620k Vol.
$10k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

70%

December 31, 2027

$7.7m Vol.
$927k Liq.
216
Ends in 9 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

2%

Yes

$68k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

7%

Yes

$823k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

5%

December 31

$529k Vol.
$23k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$271k Liq.
35
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

2%

Yes

$2.7m Vol.
$24k Liq.
127
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

4%

Yes

$150k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?

5%

Yes

$116k Vol.
$18k Liq.
17
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

6%

Yes

$156k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

8%

Yes

$267k Vol.
$18k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?

No

$322k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

No

$794k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?

No

$245k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?

No

$2.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?

President 50+ times

$79k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended