Funding Bill Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

W
Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

7%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$60 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
C
California Clinic Funding Proposition

26%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30?

2%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
S
Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

5%

October 31

$39k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

33%

AI-chip export licensing

$168k Vol.
$79k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

16%

Alex Padilla

$163k Vol.
$79k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
C
California Immunology Research Bond Proposition

63%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

9%

Yes

$24k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

2%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?

4%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$25k Liq.
3
Ends in 6 months
U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

8%

Yes

$150k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
California Public Campaign Financing Proposition

45%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

26%

Yes

$512 Vol.
$114 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?

3%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

63%

VAT federal decree

$9k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
C
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Iran · Trump

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

7%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$603 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
I
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by...?

97%

Yes

$27k Vol.
$9k Liq.
7
Ended
W
Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

22%

December 31

$17k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Colorado passes ballot measure banning underage transgender surgeries?

65%

Yes

$147 Vol.
$169 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
California Rainy Day Fund Proposition

68%

Yes

$834 Vol.
$153 Liq.
Ends in 6 months