Referendums Midterms Predictions & Odds· 111 markets

W
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

61%

Democratic Party

$4.7m Vol.
$619k Liq.
🔥$62k today
139
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

91%

Democratic Party

$11.6m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$185k today
1
Ends in about 1 month
I
Iceland EU referendum passes?

Iceland EU referendum passes?

0%

Yes

$268k Vol.
$33k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
C
California voter ID referendum passes?

California voter ID referendum passes?

36%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$104 Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
W
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?

5%

Yes

$108 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?

19%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$619 Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

2%

Yes

$68k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

5%

December 31

$529k Vol.
$22k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
S
Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?

2%

Food initiative

$48k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

67%

VAT federal decree

$8k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

99%

Yes

$958 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?

25%

Yes

$10 Vol.
$456 Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
2
2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

23%

125-130m

$29k Vol.
$105k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

98%

Yes

$422k Vol.
$83k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
O
OR-02 House Election Winner

OR-02 House Election Winner

95%

Cliff Bentz (R)

$9k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

79%

Democrats

$2k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
N
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

4%

Yes

$70k Vol.
$12k Liq.
22
Ends in about 2 months
M
Missouri passes ballot measure to redistrict?

Missouri passes ballot measure to redistrict?

37%

Yes

$95 Vol.
$173 Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
M
ME-02 House Election Winner

ME-02 House Election Winner

57%

Paul LePage (R)

$9k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months