Ballot Initiative Predictions & Odds· 116 markets

2
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

96%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$416k Vol.
$437k Liq.
103
Ends in 7 months
M
Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

40%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$320 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?

57%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$822 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

54%

Yes

$623 Vol.
$526 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
M
Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?

49%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$23 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Missouri passes ballot measure to redistrict?

37%

Yes

$95 Vol.
$175 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Arizona passes traffic camera ballot measure?

80%

Yes

$453 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
A
Arizona passes drug cartel ballot measure?

49%

Yes

$270 Vol.
$563 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
A
Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?

32%

Yes

$576 Vol.
$313 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
L
League City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?

59%

Yes

$377 Vol.
$272 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

58%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$134 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
A
Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?

44%

Yes

$182 Vol.
$397 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
Colorado passes ballot measure banning underage transgender surgeries?

47%

Yes

$147 Vol.
$174 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
Colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers?

82%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in 6 months
2
2027 French Presidential Election: Attal vs Philippe

70%

Édouard Philippe

$6k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
C
California voter ID referendum passes?

California voter ID referendum passes?

36%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$151 Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
C
California Recall Election Reform Proposition

53%

Yes

$259 Vol.
$841 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
California Public Campaign Financing Proposition

44%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?

Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?

23%

Yes

$160 Vol.
$58 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

28%

Yes

$3.8m Vol.
$64k Liq.
28
Ended