Funding Bill Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

W
Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

7%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$66 Liq.
Ends in 9 days
C
California Clinic Funding Proposition

25%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30?

2%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

45%

AI-chip export licensing

$168k Vol.
$94k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

16%

Alex Padilla

$158k Vol.
$59k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
C
California Immunology Research Bond Proposition

62%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

10%

Yes

$22k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

2%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?

4%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$26k Liq.
3
Ends in 6 months
U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

7%

Yes

$149k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
California Public Campaign Financing Proposition

45%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

31%

Yes

$318 Vol.
$456 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?

3%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

39%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$834 Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
C
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Iran · Trump

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

8%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$530 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
I
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by...?

97%

Yes

$27k Vol.
$9k Liq.
7
Ended
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

72%

VAT federal decree

$9k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
C
Colorado passes ballot measure banning underage transgender surgeries?

54%

Yes

$147 Vol.
$153 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
California Rainy Day Fund Proposition

68%

Yes

$834 Vol.
$156 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
M
Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

47%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$317 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month