Fund Predictions & Odds· 229 markets

S
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?

5%

Yes

$159k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
California Rainy Day Fund Proposition

68%

Yes

$834 Vol.
$147 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
California Clinic Funding Proposition

23%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

46%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$41 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1.0m Vol.
$275k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

48%

≥ 4.5%

$6.9m Vol.
$473k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

61%

VAT federal decree

$9k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
M
M25 Setubal: Alec Deckers vs Jake Fellows

Tennis · Sports

M25 Setubal: Alec Deckers vs Jake Fellows

75%

Alec Deckers

$0 Vol.
$828 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
F
FTC opens investigation into AI book destruction in 2026?

12%

Yes

$339 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

5%

October 31

$39k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

6%

Yes

$26k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

87%

↑ 4.25%

$1.9m Vol.
$399k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

99%

Rigetti

$188k Vol.
$9k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
P
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

98%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$161k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
2
2026 World GDP Growth

2026 World GDP Growth

30%

3.1%

$44k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
T
Trump weaponization fund blocked by...?

May 31

$29k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
D
Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?

No

$393k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended
E
EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by…?

December 19

$532k Vol.
$0 Liq.
79
Ended
S
Somalians who defrauded government to fund terrorists deported?

No

$45k Vol.
$0 Liq.
12
Ended