Ethics Predictions & Odds· 100 markets

M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$331 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$288k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

27%

OpenAI

$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

40%

December 31, 2027

$562k Vol.
$5k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

97%

China

$1k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

68%

↑ $0.80

$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

29%

55%+

$64k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Prospect vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Prospect vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

53%

Inner Circle Prospect

$554 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

53%

Communist / Communism

$6k Vol.
$694 Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
W
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

78%

↑ $6

$843k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$839 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

29%

Google

$58k Vol.
$52k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
H
Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

52%

60%+

$72k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
"
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

78%

Not revealed in 2026

$17k Vol.
$43k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
L
LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D

43%

Solary

$30 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
H
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

77%

55%+

$107k Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Teletubisie (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: STATE vs Teletubisie (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs

33%

STATE

$401 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

82%

Yes

$792k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

92%

55%+

$108k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
D
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs BALU (BO3) - European Pro League Group A

Esports · Dota 2

Dota 2: PuckChamp vs BALU (BO3) - European Pro League Group A

76%

PuckChamp

$2 Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours