Ethics Predictions & Odds· 100 markets

M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$320 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

32%

50

$23k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$286k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

43%

OpenAI

$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

40%

December 31, 2027

$562k Vol.
$5k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

97%

China

$1k Vol.
$893 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
What price will Ethena hit in September?

50%

↓ 0.16

$6k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

68%

↑ $0.80

$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Teletubisie (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: STATE vs Teletubisie (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs

50%

STATE

$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
H
Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

22%

55%+

$63k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

53%

Communist / Communism

$6k Vol.
$706 Liq.
Ends in about 22 hours
W
What price will LAB hit in 2026?

What price will LAB hit in 2026?

6%

↑ $22

$46k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

77%

↑ $6

$843k Vol.
$66k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$815 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

29%

Google

$58k Vol.
$52k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
H
Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

52%

60%+

$72k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Honor of Kings: eArena vs Godji Check (BO5) - RoV Pro League Group Stage

Esports · Honor of Kings

Honor of Kings: eArena vs Godji Check (BO5) - RoV Pro League Group Stage

50%

eArena

$1 Vol.
$78 Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
L
LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D

39%

Solary

$0 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
H
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

77%

55%+

$106k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
L
Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms?

12%

Yes

$436 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month