Department Of War Predictions & Odds· 121 markets

W
Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

31%

DeepSeek

$101k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

36%

CATL

$472k Vol.
$21k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
W
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

3%

Yes

$7.8m Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

Politics

Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

5%

Yes

$171k Vol.
$408 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

88%

October 7

$5.4m Vol.
$235k Liq.
🔥$158k today
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
F
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?

8%

December 31

$11k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

11%

October 31

$18k Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
Ended
N
Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

50%

Person G

$2k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 5 months
T
Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?

0%

Yes

$54k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ended
T
Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31?

Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31?

6%

Yes

$941 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

22%

Yes

$483k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

13%

December 31

$2.2m Vol.
$244k Liq.
39
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?

1%

September 30

$20k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ended
H
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

32%

October 31

$7k Vol.
$781 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

13%

December 31

$3k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

100%

September 30

$89k Vol.
$14k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

81%

October 31

$32.4m Vol.
$179k Liq.
🔥$70k today
309
Ends in 3 months
H
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

65%

8

$1.7m Vol.
$31k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Trump say during the Champion of Coal event?

Coal 15+ times

$118k Vol.
$0 Liq.
18
Ended