Agreement Predictions & Odds· 191 markets

I
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

30%

October 31

$2.5m Vol.
$74k Liq.
154
Ends in about 1 month
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

71%

December 31, 2027

$7.7m Vol.
$895k Liq.
216
Ends in 9 months
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

6%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$27k Liq.
8
Ends in 11 days
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

22%

October 31

$15k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

46%

December 31

$191k Vol.
$40k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

33%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

91%

Yes

$257k Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?

24%

December 31

$64k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?

54%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$533 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?

11%

Bahrain

$60k Vol.
$168k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
G
Greenland deal text released by...?

Greenland deal text released by...?

77%

September 30

$20k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in 11 days
U
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?

9%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

9%

Kuwait

$1.7m Vol.
$146k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

7%

Yes

$22k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

5%

December 31

$662k Vol.
$18k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026?

Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026?

9%

Yes

$348 Vol.
$308 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

11%

December 31

$17.8m Vol.
$429k Liq.
🔥$65k today
156
Ends in 3 months
C
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Iran · Trump

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

8%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$528 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

29%

Google

$58k Vol.
$52k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
C
Counter-Strike: GoldRashers vs Banger Gang (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

48%

GoldRashers

$261 Vol.
$27 Liq.
Ended