Ukraine Peace Deal Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

9%

Yes

$2.8m Vol.
$73k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?

1%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

3%

Yes

$629k Vol.
$11k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

72%

December 31, 2027

$8.0m Vol.
$867k Liq.
🔥$82k today
216
Ends in 9 months
R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

69%

December 31

$868k Vol.
$88k Liq.
🔥$66k today
43
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

3%

Yes

$69k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

7%

Yes

$825k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

5%

December 31

$529k Vol.
$38k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

2%

Yes

$2.7m Vol.
$21k Liq.
127
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

17%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$206k Liq.
35
Ended
W
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

4%

Yes

$150k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?

9%

Yes

$118k Vol.
$18k Liq.
17
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

5%

Yes

$156k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

8%

Yes

$268k Vol.
$16k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
E
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

4%

Yes

$462k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Russia capture Svitle by...?

Will Russia capture Svitle by...?

12%

Yes

$66k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

96%

December 31

$280k Vol.
$67k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by...?

27%

Yes

$33k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by...?

deprecgeopolitcs · Ukraine Map

Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by...?

14%

December 31

$115k Vol.
$816 Liq.
1
Ends in 7 days