Ukraine Peace Deal Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

10%

Yes

$2.8m Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?

2%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

3%

Yes

$629k Vol.
$11k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

71%

December 31, 2027

$8.0m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
225
Ends in 9 months
R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

71%

December 31

$915k Vol.
$149k Liq.
60
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

3%

Yes

$69k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

7%

Yes

$825k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

5%

December 31

$530k Vol.
$31k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

3%

Yes

$2.7m Vol.
$21k Liq.
127
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$283k Liq.
35
Ended
W
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

3%

Yes

$151k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?

8%

Yes

$120k Vol.
$14k Liq.
17
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

5%

Yes

$156k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

8%

Yes

$268k Vol.
$17k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 29 - October 6, 2026?

43%

60-79

$546 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

32%

60-79

$687 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
E
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

4%

Yes

$462k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

60%

80-99

$6k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
Will Russia capture Svitle by...?

Will Russia capture Svitle by...?

8%

Yes

$67k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month