Foreign Policy Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

F
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

13%

December 31

$1.1m Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

11%

December 31

$76k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

14%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$901k Vol.
$197k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$308 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
C
China x India military clash by...?

China x India military clash by...?

7%

Yes

$331k Vol.
$15k Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?

2%

Yes

$685 Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 18 days
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

40%

December 31, 2027

$562k Vol.
$5k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

96%

October 31

$690k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

58%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$411 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

5%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

65%

8

$1.7m Vol.
$121k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

60%

December 31

$29.5m Vol.
$480k Liq.
🔥$228k today
573
Ends in 3 months
U
UK election called by...?

UK · pedophile

UK election called by...?

27%

June 30, 2027

$825k Vol.
$2k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

8%

Yes

$267k Vol.
$11k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
W
White House # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

62%

200+

$5k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
What price will Ethena hit in September?

50%

↑ 0.28

$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

98%

September 20

$419k Vol.
$233k Liq.
🔥$319k today
Ends in about 1 month
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$520 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month