Agreement Predictions & Odds· 199 markets

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

72%

December 31, 2027

$7.9m Vol.
$885k Liq.
🔥$99k today
216
Ends in 9 months
I
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

35%

October 31

$2.6m Vol.
$50k Liq.
154
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

8%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$46k Liq.
8
Ends in 8 days
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

27%

October 31

$43k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

44%

December 31

$200k Vol.
$50k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
U
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

91%

December 31

$273k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?

16%

Egypt

$62k Vol.
$131k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

36%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$848 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?

38%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$379 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?

25%

December 31

$64k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ended
U
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?

8%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

9%

Kuwait

$1.7m Vol.
$155k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

10%

Yes

$36k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

5%

December 31

$662k Vol.
$18k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026?

Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026?

7%

Yes

$348 Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

14%

December 31

$18.0m Vol.
$387k Liq.
🔥$141k today
157
Ended
C
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Iran · Trump

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

7%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$598 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

34%

Google

$70k Vol.
$56k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
C
Counter-Strike: GoldRashers vs Banger Gang (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

48%

GoldRashers

$261 Vol.
$27 Liq.
Ended
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months