Agreement Predictions & Odds· 487 markets

I
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

33%

October 31

$2.7m Vol.
$57k Liq.
🔥$56k today
154
Ends in about 1 month
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

72%

December 31, 2027

$8.0m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$52k today
223
Ends in 9 months
U
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

94%

December 31

$302k Vol.
$72k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

7%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$40k Liq.
8
Ends in 6 days
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

28%

October 31

$49k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

41%

December 31

$203k Vol.
$41k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?

12%

Oman

$63k Vol.
$136k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?

24%

December 31

$64k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ended
F
Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?

33%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$528 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

40%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?

10%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

9%

Kuwait

$1.7m Vol.
$175k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

11%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

5%

December 31

$662k Vol.
$18k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026?

Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026?

9%

Yes

$348 Vol.
$306 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

12%

December 31

$18.1m Vol.
$461k Liq.
157
Ended
C
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Iran · Trump

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

7%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$601 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

35%

Google

$79k Vol.
$4k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

14%

Yes

$260k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in 3 months