Acting Predictions & Odds· 336 markets

E
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by...?

65%

December 31

$17k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?

14%

Meta

$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
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W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

27%

OpenAI

$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
K
Kennedy Center demolition announced by...?

32%

December 31

$419 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

39%

October 31

$100k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
Canada applies for full EU membership by...?

Canada applies for full EU membership by...?

27%

December 31, 2027

$1k Vol.
$16k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

84%

October 31

$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
F
FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?

9%

Yes

$38k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

47%

October 31

$4k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
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W
Will Faker become president of South Korea by the end of the year?

lol · Sports

Will Faker become president of South Korea by the end of the year?

1%

Yes

$172 Vol.
$674 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

50%

Person A

$19k Vol.
$151k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
W
Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?

Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?

50%

Candidate A

$870 Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

29%

Google

$58k Vol.
$52k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
U
US announces another yen intervention by...?

40%

December 31, 2026

$0 Vol.
$146 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

5%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
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U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

59%

December 31

$29.6m Vol.
$492k Liq.
🔥$314k today
573
Ends in 3 months
F
Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?

52%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$543 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

6%

Yes

$83k Vol.
$21k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran invades Kuwait by...?

Iran invades Kuwait by...?

6%

December 31

$1.1m Vol.
$47k Liq.
10
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U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

7%

Yes

$22k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months