License Predictions & Odds· 182 markets

F
FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?

9%

Yes

$38k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

7%

Yes

$27k Vol.
$9k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
E
Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?

13%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 18 days
S
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

88%

June 30, 2027?

$44k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
L
LoL: Contingent Esports vs University of Mississippi (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs
$418k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
L
League City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?

59%

Yes

$377 Vol.
$277 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
F
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

65%

December 31, 2027

$102k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
M
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: EVOS vs Team Liquid ID (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season

Esports · Mobile Legends: Bang Bang

Mobile Legends Bang Bang: EVOS vs Team Liquid ID (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season

30%

EVOS

$26 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
M
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Level UP vs Team Spirit (BO3) - MLBB Continental Championships Regular Season

49%

Level UP

$0 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
T
Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?

3%

Yes

$22k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

19%

October 31

$356k Vol.
$23k Liq.
6
Ends in 11 days
U
US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?

US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?

40%

December 31

$49k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
L
LoL: HMBLE vs Colossal Gaming (BO5) - LIT Playoffs

Esports · league of legends

LoL: HMBLE vs Colossal Gaming (BO5) - LIT Playoffs

94%

HMBLE

$3k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
M
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Rakuzan vs Team Yandex (BO3) - MLBB Continental Championships Regular Season

50%

Rakuzan

$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
W
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

4%

BMO

$76k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

3%

Yes

$586k Vol.
$8k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
U
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2025?

No

$71k Vol.
$0 Liq.
17
Ended