Press Predictions & Odds· 1069 markets

W
When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?

32%

October 14

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1
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W
Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?

50%

Candidate O

$449k Vol.
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21
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W
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

64%

Democratic

$2.4m Vol.
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94
Ends in about 2 years
H
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

3%

Yes

$18.3m Vol.
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569
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?

51%

J.D. Vance

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1
Ends in about 2 years
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

84%

October 15

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1
Ends in about 1 month
A
Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

99%

$170 billion

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1
Ends in 7 months
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

47%

October 31

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1
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W
Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?

40%

Yes

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C
China Annual Inflation 2026

China Annual Inflation 2026

52%

0.6 – 1.0%

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1
Ends in 4 months
P
Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Comeback Player of the Year Winner

NFL (All) · Sports

Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Comeback Player of the Year Winner

50%

Other

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1
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P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$707.2m Vol.
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🔥$283k today
1,033
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S
September Inflation China - Annual

September Inflation China - Annual

43%

0.9% to 1.0%

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Ends in 25 days
P
Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner

97%

Josh Shapiro (D)

$50k Vol.
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Ends in about 1 month
D
DOJ fines Nvidia over Groq deal in 2026?

DOJ fines Nvidia over Groq deal in 2026?

9%

Yes

$95 Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
E
Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

2%

Yes

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10
Ends in 3 months