Acting Predictions & Odds· 341 markets

W
Will Dardo be named Fnatic LoL General Manager by...?

lol · Sports

Will Dardo be named Fnatic LoL General Manager by...?

50%

October 31

$0 Vol.
$18 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

42%

USA

$14k Vol.
$118k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

87%

December 31, 2026

$12k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

19%

OpenAI

$10k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
U
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

28%

October 31

$102k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?

14%

Meta

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?

9%

Yes

$38k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

80%

October 31

$109 Vol.
$455 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
E
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by...?

65%

December 31

$27k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Faker become president of South Korea by the end of the year?

lol · Sports

Will Faker become president of South Korea by the end of the year?

5%

Yes

$223 Vol.
$627 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
U
US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?

US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?

35%

October 31

$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

17%

October 15

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

27%

Google

$73k Vol.
$22k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
U
US announces another yen intervention by...?

40%

December 31, 2026

$0 Vol.
$91 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

0%

Yes

$19k Vol.
$26k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

62%

December 31

$31.1m Vol.
$403k Liq.
🔥$546k today
603
Ends in 3 months
K
Kennedy Center demolition announced by...?

30%

December 31

$681 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

6%

Yes

$83k Vol.
$22k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran invades Kuwait by...?

Iran invades Kuwait by...?

6%

December 31

$1.1m Vol.
$61k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?

Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?

50%

Candidate A

$2k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years