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Xai Predictions & Odds· 110 markets

AllSportsPoliticsFootballSpaceXScienceBusinessFinanceElon MuskSam AltmanAIGptOpenAIGrokAnthropicCultureIPOsGoogleSpaceTechOutageCFB (All)Jerome PowellChatgptDeepSeekRecurringXAIBig TechIPOClaudeClaude 5Rewards 100, 4.5, 100 DeprecOutagesCodingMoonshotNCAAFOpenAI IPOAnthropic IPOCodexAI ReleasesAI RankingsAI BenchmarksAI RegulationWebDevSpaceXAIPlayer StatsAI AchievementsAI Safety
I
IPOs before 2027?

Finance·Business

IPOs before 2027?

79%

Anthropic

$7.3m Vol.
$106k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Tech·AI

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

73%

Anthropic

$1.3m Vol.
$972k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Tech·AI

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

27%

Google

$157k Vol.
$101k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Tech·OpenAI

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

80%

None in 2026

$126k Vol.
$14k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
N
NCAA Football: 2026 SEC Rushing Yards Leader

CFB (All) · NCAAF

NCAA Football: 2026 SEC Rushing Yards Leader

50%

A

$0 Vol.
$291 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
NCAA Football: 2026 SEC Rushing TDs Leader

CFB (All) · NCAAF

NCAA Football: 2026 SEC Rushing TDs Leader

50%

A

$0 Vol.
$331 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
G
Grok 5 released by...?

Tech·AI

Grok 5 released by...?

60%

December 31

$14k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

Finance·OpenAI

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

66%

$OAI

$15k Vol.
$9k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
G
Grok (Web) Outage by...?

Tech·AI

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

62%

December 31

$0 Vol.
$62 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

Finance·Elon Musk

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

55%

SpaceX

$12k Vol.
$196 Liq.
5
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

Finance·AI

Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

69%

Anthropic

$180 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
O
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Finance·IPOs

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

96%

$800B

$1.5m Vol.
$19k Liq.
2
Ends in over 1 year
H
How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?

Finance·IPO

How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?

55%

$100B+

$8k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

Finance·IPO

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

69%

1.5T+

$333k Vol.
$114k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI resets Codex weekly usage limit by...?

Tech·AI

OpenAI resets Codex weekly usage limit by...?

79%

September 24

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

Tech·AI

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

76%

OpenAI

$153k Vol.
$92k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
O
OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?

Tech·AI

OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?

28%

Yes

$761 Vol.
$316 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

Tech·AI

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

56%

OpenAI

$461 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

Finance·Big Tech

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

2%

Yes

$310k Vol.
$8k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

Tech·AI

Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

7%

Yes

$444 Vol.
$357 Liq.
Ends in 3 months

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Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on...?Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?Grok (Web) Outage by...?

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Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?Grok (Web) Outage by...?Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on...?Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?