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Outages Predictions & Odds· 108 markets

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#
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

Tech·AI

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

53%

2

$10k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
C
ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

Tech·AI

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

5%

Yes

$18k Vol.
$180 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
C
Critical Discord Incident by...?

Tech·hack

Critical Discord Incident by...?

13%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$594 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
A
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

Politics·hack

Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

45%

October 31

$74k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
AWS service disrupted by...?

Tech·amazon

AWS service disrupted by...?

51%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$2 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
S
Solana Up or Down - January 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Solana Up or Down - January 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Up

$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Solana Up or Down - February 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Down

$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Solana Up or Down - April 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Down

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
F
Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?

Tech·AI

Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?

25%

Yes

$114 Vol.
$123 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Solana Up or Down - February 25, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Up

$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Solana Up or Down - February 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Up

$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Solana Up or Down - May 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Up

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
Solana Up or Down - February 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Solana Up or Down - February 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Up

$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
Solana Up or Down - February 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Solana Up or Down - February 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Up

$9k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Solana Up or Down - February 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Down

$569 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
Solana Up or Down - February 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Solana Up or Down - February 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Up

$1k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
A
Astra removed from public access by...?

Tech·AI

Astra removed from public access by...?

8%

October 31

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Solana Up or Down - January 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Down

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Up

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Solana Up or Down - February 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Down

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

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