Outages Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

#
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

53%

2

$10k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
C
ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

5%

Yes

$18k Vol.
$184 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$335 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
C
Critical Discord Incident by...?

Critical Discord Incident by...?

13%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$545 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
C
ChatGPT Outage by....?

ChatGPT Outage by....?

95%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$157 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
A
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

45%

October 31

$74k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Rainbow Six Siege: DarkZero Esports vs Outlast (BO1) - North America League Stage 2 Group Stage

50%

DarkZero Esports

$0 Vol.
$255 Liq.
Ends in 5 days
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

40%

December 31, 2027

$562k Vol.
$5k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
F
Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?

25%

Yes

$114 Vol.
$122 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$283k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
L
LoL: The Bandits vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season

Esports · league of legends

LoL: The Bandits vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season

$68k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

29%

7.3M to 7.4M

$8k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
R
Rainbow Six Siege: Trippy Main Telecom vs Can You Be My Enemy (BO1) - Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 2 Group Stage

49%

Trippy Main Telecom

$0 Vol.
$389 Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
What price will Ethena hit in September?

50%

↑ 0.28

$6k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
A
AWS service disrupted by...?

AWS service disrupted by...?

50%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$2 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
L
LoL: Kits Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playoffs

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Kits Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playoffs

$289k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
L
LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D

40%

Solary

$0 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
A
Astra removed from public access by...?

Astra removed from public access by...?

9%

October 31

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
Counter-Strike: Village vs TenToesDown (BO3) - FRAG Midwest St. Louis Group D

27%

Village

$12 Vol.
$83 Liq.
Ended
W
What will MicroStrategy (MSTR) hit in September 2026?

50%

↑ $180

$1k Vol.
$31 Liq.
Ends in 11 days