Moonshot Predictions & Odds· 240 markets

K
Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?

Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?

72%

June 30, 2027

$7k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

98%

Anthropic

$3.6m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$86k today
Ends in 11 days
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

87%

Alibaba

$508k Vol.
$72k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

89%

Anthropic

$334k Vol.
$395k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

73%

Anthropic

$1.3m Vol.
$935k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Second-best AI Lab end of November?

Second-best AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$6k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

70%

Alibaba

$97k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

85%

45%+

$61k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
T
Third-best AI Lab end of November?

Third-best AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

54%

Anthropic

$3k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
#
#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

50%

Other

$5k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

66%

Z.ai

$125k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

68%

Moonshot

$57k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

36%

Moonshot AI

$96k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

59%

Alibaba

$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

28%

Google

$58k Vol.
$28k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?

55%

OpenAI

$74k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month