Claude 5 Predictions & Odds· 119 markets

B
Best AI model on September 21?

Best AI model on September 21?

95%

claude-fable-5.1-max

$31k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
W
Will Claude go down on __ days in September?

72%

5-7

$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
H
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

93%

55%+

$109k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

96%

45%+

$23k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus released on...?

Next Claude Opus released on...?

33%

September 22

$27k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
C
Claude 6 released by...?

Claude 6 released by...?

87%

December 31, 2027

$26k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
N
Next Claude Opus released by...?

Next Claude Opus released by...?

98%

October 31

$192k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Haiku released by...?

Next Claude Haiku released by...?

73%

December 31

$10k Vol.
$845 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

96%

December 31

$22k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

71%

1500+

$80k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

91%

December 31

$26k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

43%

1470+

$32k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic resets Claude usage limit by...?

Anthropic resets Claude usage limit by...?

93%

October 31

$7k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
M15 Monastir: Henri Haupt vs Clement Hemery

Tennis · Sports

M15 Monastir: Henri Haupt vs Clement Hemery

50%

Henri Haupt

$0 Vol.
$49 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
M15 Baku: Jagmeet Singh vs Louis Allen

Tennis · Sports

M15 Baku: Jagmeet Singh vs Louis Allen

50%

Jagmeet Singh

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
M15 Monastir: Florent Limani vs CHARLES CHEN

Tennis · Sports

M15 Monastir: Florent Limani vs CHARLES CHEN

50%

Florent Limani

$0 Vol.
$8 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
M15 Forbach: Robin Eldin vs Yannick Baluska

Tennis · Sports

M15 Forbach: Robin Eldin vs Yannick Baluska

81%

Robin Eldin

$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
M15 Monastir: Ewen Lumsden vs Bernardo Tedesco

Tennis · Sports

M15 Monastir: Ewen Lumsden vs Bernardo Tedesco

51%

Ewen Lumsden

$0 Vol.
$53 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
M15 Monastir: Juan Bautista Otegui vs Christian Henkel

Tennis · Sports

M15 Monastir: Juan Bautista Otegui vs Christian Henkel

50%

Juan Bautista Otegui

$0 Vol.
$23 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
M15 Monastir: Renaud Lefevre vs Daniel Domingos

Tennis · Sports

M15 Monastir: Renaud Lefevre vs Daniel Domingos

50%

Renaud Lefevre

$0 Vol.
$23 Liq.
Ends in 7 days