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Outage Predictions & Odds· 198 markets

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#
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

Tech·AI

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

55%

2

$10k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
C
ChatGPT Outage by....?

Tech·AI

ChatGPT Outage by....?

88%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$156 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
C
ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

Tech·AI

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

5%

Yes

$17k Vol.
$174 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
G
Grok (Web) Outage by...?

Tech·AI

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

61%

December 31

$0 Vol.
$109 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Critical Discord Incident by...?

Tech·hack

Critical Discord Incident by...?

13%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$559 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
S
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Solana Up or Down - January 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Down

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
Solana Up or Down - December 24, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Solana Up or Down - December 24, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Up

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
Solana Up or Down - February 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Solana Up or Down - February 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Up

$9k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Solana Up or Down - April 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Down

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
Solana Up or Down - February 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Solana Up or Down - February 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Up

$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
G
GitHub.com critical incident by...?

Tech·Coding

GitHub.com critical incident by...?

69%

October 31

$0 Vol.
$69 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Solana Up or Down - February 25, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Up

$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
Solana Up or Down - February 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Solana Up or Down - February 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Up

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
L
Longest GitHub critical incident in September?

Tech·Coding

Longest GitHub critical incident in September?

31%

1-3 hours

$19k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
S
Solana Up or Down - December 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Solana Up or Down - December 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

0%

Up

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
G
GitHub Git Operations critical incident by...?

Tech·Coding

GitHub Git Operations critical incident by...?

9%

September 30

$4k Vol.
$381 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Solana Up or Down - January 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Solana Up or Down - January 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Down

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
Solana Up or Down - January 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Solana Up or Down - January 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Down

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
Solana Up or Down - January 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Solana Up or Down - January 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Down

$12k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
Solana Up or Down - January 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Solana Up or Down - January 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Up

$17k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

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New Outage Predictions

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