Xai Predictions & Odds· 285 markets

W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

73%

Anthropic

$1.4m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
IPOs before 2027?

IPOs before 2027?

80%

Anthropic

$7.4m Vol.
$100k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

27%

Google

$160k Vol.
$214k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

82%

None in 2026

$126k Vol.
$19k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
N
NCAA Football: 2026 SEC Rushing Yards Leader

CFB (All) · NCAAF

NCAA Football: 2026 SEC Rushing Yards Leader

50%

A

$0 Vol.
$304 Liq.
Ends in 2 months
N
NCAA Football: 2026 SEC Rushing TDs Leader

CFB (All) · NCAAF

NCAA Football: 2026 SEC Rushing TDs Leader

50%

A

$0 Vol.
$347 Liq.
Ends in 2 months
G
Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

47%

December 31

$15k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

73%

$OAI

$15k Vol.
$10k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
G
Grok (Web) Outage by...?

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

61%

December 31

$47 Vol.
$65 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

56%

SpaceX

$12k Vol.
$235 Liq.
5
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

69%

Anthropic

$227 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
O
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

80%

$800B

$1.5m Vol.
$20k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
H
How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?

How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?

44%

$100B+

$8k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

62%

1.5T+

$356k Vol.
$192k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

2%

Yes

$313k Vol.
$6k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
W
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

23%

$1.75T–$2.0T

$198k Vol.
$51k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

6%

Yes

$444 Vol.
$378 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?

Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?

1440+

$66k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
X
xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

25%+

$24k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended