Weather Science Predictions & Odds· 105 markets

W
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

23%

Yes

$43 Vol.
$345 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
F
First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

99%

Denver, CO by November 30

$12k Vol.
$8k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
W
Where will it rain on September 21?

Where will it rain on September 21?

67%

Washington, DC

$408 Vol.
$970 Liq.
Ends in 2 days
W
Where will it rain on September 19?

100%

Chicago, IL

$7k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ended
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$333 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$943k Vol.
$226k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US Tornadoes in September 2026

US Tornadoes in September 2026

68%

25 - 49

$118 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 24 days
S
September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

46%

1.35–1.39ºC

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
S
September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?

97%

2nd hottest

$4k Vol.
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A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

47%

October 31

$4k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

94%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on September 21?

91%

$92

$392 Vol.
$147 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
W
Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?

98%

Yes

$2k Vol.
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Ends in 10 days
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

39%

December 31, 2027

$564k Vol.
$6k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

96%

October 31

$703k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?

23%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$32 Liq.
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W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

75%

1

$3.5m Vol.
$280k Liq.
27
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O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

83%

October 31

$11k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

44%

↓ 0.40

$79k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

28%

Fay

$33k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months