Climate Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

W
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

10%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

22%

Yes

$43 Vol.
$372 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
F
First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

99%

Denver, CO by November 30

$12k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
S
September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

46%

1.35–1.39ºC

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 21 days
W
Where will it rain on September 18?

Where will it rain on September 18?

100%

Denver, CO

$2k Vol.
$719 Liq.
Ends in about 10 hours
W
Where will it rain on September 19?

95%

Chicago, IL

$2k Vol.
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Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

74%

1

$3.5m Vol.
$216k Liq.
27
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

13%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$329 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?

98%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$609 Liq.
Ends in 12 days
S
September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?

97%

2nd hottest

$4k Vol.
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W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

15%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$900k Vol.
$233k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

94%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
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W
What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of September 14 2026?

0%

↑ $3.50

$19k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ended
W
Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?

70%

Yes

$663 Vol.
$275 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

25%

Gonzalo

$29k Vol.
$17k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
W
What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of September 21 2026?

50%

↑ $3.60

$369 Vol.
$29 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
H
How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

61%

1-3

$32k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?

100%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

46%

↑ 2.20

$79k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?

37%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$74 Liq.
Ends in 3 months