Weather Science Predictions & Odds· 105 markets

W
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

22%

Yes

$43 Vol.
$377 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
F
First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

99%

Denver, CO by November 30

$12k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will it rain on September 18?

Where will it rain on September 18?

100%

Denver, CO

$2k Vol.
$721 Liq.
Ends in about 10 hours
W
Where will it rain on September 19?

95%

Chicago, IL

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

13%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$329 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

15%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$900k Vol.
$235k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US Tornadoes in September 2026

US Tornadoes in September 2026

67%

25 - 49

$118 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 26 days
S
September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

46%

1.35–1.39ºC

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 21 days
S
September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?

97%

2nd hottest

$4k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

39%

October 31

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

94%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?

98%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$580 Liq.
Ends in 12 days
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

40%

December 31, 2027

$562k Vol.
$6k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

96%

October 31

$690k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?

37%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$74 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

74%

1

$3.5m Vol.
$221k Liq.
27
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

46%

↑ 2.20

$79k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

75%

October 31

$8k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

25%

Gonzalo

$29k Vol.
$16k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
H
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 20?

34%

29°C

$7k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 1 day