US Law Predictions & Odds· 117 markets

C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

31%

Yes

$318 Vol.
$420 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

48%

AI-chip export licensing

$168k Vol.
$94k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$949k Vol.
$143k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
C
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

10%

Yes

$22k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

64%

Democrats Sweep

$13.2m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$345k today
293
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

7%

Yes

$42k Vol.
$6k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

7%

Yes

$149k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

20%

Mexico

$393k Vol.
$118k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

3%

Yes

$178k Vol.
$23k Liq.
10
Ends in 4 months
S
SPLC found guilty in 2026?

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

8%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$283 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

4%

Yes

$10.8m Vol.
$72k Liq.
273
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

12%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Blue tsunami in 2026?

Blue tsunami in 2026?

52%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
O
OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?

OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?

52%

Yes

$850 Vol.
$131 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

2%

Yes

$116k Vol.
$845 Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$342k Vol.
$42k Liq.
12
Ends in about 1 month
U
US military draft authorized in 2026?

US military draft authorized in 2026?

6%

Yes

$532k Vol.
$31k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month