US Government Predictions & Odds· 179 markets

U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

13%

Yes

$37k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

9%

Yes

$35k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k Vol.
$6k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
U
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

7%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$342k Vol.
$101k Liq.
12
Ends in 4 months
W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

100%

GlobalFoundries

$189k Vol.
$9k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$1.1m Vol.
$260k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?

4%

Yes

$6k Vol.
$881 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Treasury announces Bitcoin purchase by ___?

34%

December 31, 2027

$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

79%

March 31

$31.8m Vol.
$465k Liq.
🔥$387k today
623
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

5%

Yes

$85k Vol.
$17k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$311 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
F
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

1%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

31%

No Meeting by December 31

$30k Vol.
$172k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

36%

December 31, 2027

$575k Vol.
$5k Liq.
42
Ends in over 1 year
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

41%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$487 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US defaults on debt by 2027?

US defaults on debt by 2027?

2%

Yes

$18k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
J
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

1%

Yes

$319k Vol.
$3k Liq.
33
Ends in 3 months
U
US charges Hormuz fees by...?

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

5%

Yes

$984k Vol.
$35k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
O
Obama federally charged before 2027?

Obama federally charged before 2027?

5%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months