Crypto Legal Predictions & Odds· 121 markets

T
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

8%

Yes

$117k Vol.
$118 Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
W
What value will Total Crypto Market Cap hit in 2026?

99%

↑ 3T

$18k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

10%

Yes

$22k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Total crypto hack value in 2026?

Total crypto hack value in 2026?

89%

>$2B

$83k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
R
Record crypto liquidation in 2026?

8%

Yes

$71k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?

88%

NATO

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2
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W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

93%

President Xi

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W
What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

85%

Tesla

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S
Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

6%

October 31

$36k Vol.
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Ends in about 1 month
D
DOJ fines Nvidia over Groq deal in 2026?

DOJ fines Nvidia over Groq deal in 2026?

11%

Yes

$195 Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
L
LAPTOP listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?

LAPTOP listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?

6%

OKX

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Ends in 3 months
N
NYPost cover features $Laptop by September 23?

2%

Yes

$17k Vol.
$492 Liq.
1
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W
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

16%

Alex Padilla

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1
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E
Extended listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?

65%

Kraken

$22k Vol.
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1
Ends in over 1 year
C
Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

9%

Yes

$92k Vol.
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15
Ends in 3 months
W
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

7%

Yes

$42k Vol.
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9
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?

OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?

45%

Yes

$850 Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
M
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?

Major CEX insolvent in 2026?

4%

Yes

$135k Vol.
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4
Ends in 3 months
T
Tokenized stocks available on Robinhood by ___?

95%

June 30, 2027

$2k Vol.
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E
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

1%

Yes

$42k Vol.
$24k Liq.
20
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