US Government Predictions & Odds· 180 markets

U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k Vol.
$5k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
U
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

6%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$342k Vol.
$82k Liq.
12
Ends in 4 months
U
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$35k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

99%

Rigetti

$188k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1.0m Vol.
$280k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?

3%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Treasury announces Bitcoin purchase by ___?

38%

December 31, 2027

$2k Vol.
$815 Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

61%

December 31

$31.2m Vol.
$449k Liq.
🔥$243k today
604
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

6%

Yes

$84k Vol.
$21k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

13%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$296 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
F
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

2%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

44%

USA

$19k Vol.
$103k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

37%

December 31, 2027

$575k Vol.
$10k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

44%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$485 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US defaults on debt by 2027?

US defaults on debt by 2027?

2%

Yes

$18k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
J
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

2%

Yes

$319k Vol.
$2k Liq.
33
Ends in 3 months
U
US charges Hormuz fees by...?

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

5%

Yes

$984k Vol.
$35k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
O
Obama federally charged before 2027?

Obama federally charged before 2027?

5%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months