US Employment Predictions & Odds· 109 markets

H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

4%

5.0%

$525k Vol.
$15k Liq.
21
Ends in 6 months
C
Clavicular sentenced to prison by...?

Clavicular sentenced to prison by...?

11%

December 31, 2027

$96k Vol.
$9k Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months
S
September Unemployment Rate

September Unemployment Rate

42%

4.1%

$25k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
D
Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

Politics · Culture

Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

5%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

70%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$99k Vol.
$5k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

19%

7.4M to 7.5M

$24k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 20 hours
H
How many jobs added in September?

How many jobs added in September?

30%

50k to 100k

$17k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Dilution of Iran's Uranium

$1.1m Vol.
$158k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
D
December Unemployment Rate

≤4.1%

$54k Vol.
$0 Liq.
45
Ended
H
How many Jobs added in July?

100-150k

$29k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
$20k Vol.
$0 Liq.
H
How many Jobs added in April?

jobs · us jobs

How many Jobs added in April?

150-200k

$63k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
H
How many Jobs added in March?

All · us economy

How many Jobs added in March?

>275k (Feb #)

$63k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
H
How many Jobs added in May?

unemployment · employment

How many Jobs added in May?

250-300k

$25k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
H
How many Jobs added in June?

200-250k

$52k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
H
How many Jobs added in February?

250k-300k

$83k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
J
January Unemployment Rate

≤4.0%

$48k Vol.
$0 Liq.
45
Ended
A
August jobs report prints negative?

No

$32k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
J
July jobs report prints negative?

No

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
N
November Unemployment Rate

4.2%

$68k Vol.
$0 Liq.
45
Ended