Employment Predictions & Odds· 153 markets

H
How many jobs added in September?

How many jobs added in September?

31%

50k to 100k

$10k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
S
September Unemployment Rate

September Unemployment Rate

41%

4.1%

$16k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

7%

Yes

$444 Vol.
$261 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5%

5.0%

$517k Vol.
$12k Liq.
21
Ends in 6 months
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

24%

7.2M to 7.3M

$9k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
J
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?

8%

Yes

$69k Vol.
$15k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

77%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$91k Vol.
$8k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
J
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

1%

Yes

$170k Vol.
$41k Liq.
23
Ends in 3 months
C
Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

9%

Yes

$92k Vol.
$17k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
P
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

3%

Yes

$223k Vol.
$10k Liq.
35
Ends in 3 months
E
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

49%

0-1.0%

$54k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
D
Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

Politics · Culture

Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

5%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
W
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

26%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$386 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
W
What will JD Vance say during remarks in Milwaukee?

Wisconsin 5+ times

$12k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
W
What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?

Rate / Cut

$178k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Kevin Warsh say during his Swearing-In?

America / American 2+ times

$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Powell say during December Press Conference?

Inflation 40+ times

$1.1m Vol.
$879 Liq.
202
Ended
W
What will Powell say during his speech on October 14?

Mentions · Economy

What will Powell say during his speech on October 14?

Employment / Unemployment 15+ times

$221k Vol.
$0 Liq.
72
Ended
W
What will Powell say during October Press Conference?

Inflation 40+ times

$813k Vol.
$0 Liq.
347
Ended
W
What will Powell say during his speech at Jackson Hole on August 22?

Inflation 50+ times

$275k Vol.
$0 Liq.
74
Ended