Labor Market Predictions & Odds· 253 markets

J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

45%

7.3M to 7.4M

$7k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
S
September Unemployment Rate

September Unemployment Rate

45%

4.0%

$8k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
W
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

6%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$347 Liq.
2
Ends in 5 months
P
PPI YoY - September 2026

PPI YoY - September 2026

37%

≤5.0%

$12k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 26 days
C
Core CPI YoY - September 2026

Core CPI YoY - September 2026

46%

2.4%

$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 25 days
C
Core CPI MoM - September 2026

Core CPI MoM - September 2026

49%

0.2%

$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 25 days
H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

9%

5.0%

$513k Vol.
$7k Liq.
21
Ends in 4 months
S
September Inflation US - Annual

September Inflation US - Annual

45%

3.6%

$30k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 25 days
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

77%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$89k Vol.
$5k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
S
September Inflation US - Monthly

September Inflation US - Monthly

34%

0.5%

$21k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 25 days
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

91%

Up

$26k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
H
How high will inflation get in 2026?

How high will inflation get in 2026?

20%

Above 4.5%

$1.5m Vol.
$58k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
M
Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?

76%

PAN

$85k Vol.
$86k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months
V
Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

57%

One Nation

$21k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
V
Victoria Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

81%

Labor

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
M
Mexico Legislative Election Winner

91%

Morena

$104k Vol.
$122k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
V
Victoria Parliamentary Election Winner

76%

Liberal–National

$14k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
What will Costco say during their next earnings call?

99%

Quarter 15+ times

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
What will Powell say during his speech on October 14?

Mentions · Economy

What will Powell say during his speech on October 14?

Employment / Unemployment 15+ times

$221k Vol.
$0 Liq.
72
Ended
J
January Unemployment Rate

≤4.0%

$48k Vol.
$0 Liq.
45
Ended