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US Economy Predictions & Odds· 112 markets

AllPoliticsDeprec USA ElectionBusinessFinanceTrumpEconomy1Interest RatesMonetary PolicyFedU.S. Presidential ElectionCaliforniaU.S. Presidential Election 2024U.S. ElectionEmploymentCultureInflationUS EconomyLabor MarketJobsUS EmploymentMarch MeetingUS ElectionUnemploymentUS JobsState Presidential ElectionFed RatesEconomyDNCMentionsBlsMacro InflationMacro Unemployment2025 PredictionsCPIRecurringEconomic PolicyTrump Speech
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

Economy·CPI

US economic state at the end of 2026?

68%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$96k Vol.
$5k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
W
What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival?

Culture·Trump

What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival?

62%

China 5+ times

$7k Vol.
$71k Liq.
1
Ends in 1 day
U
US recession by end of 2026?

Economy·Business

US recession by end of 2026?

9%

Yes

$2.1m Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US GDP growth in Q2 2023?

All

US GDP growth in Q2 2023?

0.0%+

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
US GDP growth in Q1 2023?

All

US GDP growth in Q1 2023?

2.0%+

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
When will the next recession happen in the US?

All

When will the next recession happen in the US?

$107k Vol.
$0 Liq.
W
Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022?

All

Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022?

$105k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
N
November Inflation

Economy·Business

November Inflation

2.7%

$396k Vol.
$0 Liq.
21
Ended
D
Did US GDP grow more than 2.5% in Q4 2022?

All

Did US GDP grow more than 2.5% in Q4 2022?

$520 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
R
RNC Debate: Mention markets

All

RNC Debate: Mention markets

Hunter Biden

$45k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
C
California Presidential Election Winner

Politics·State Presidential Election

California Presidential Election Winner

Kamala Harris

$3.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
48
Ended
H
How many Jobs added in March?

All · us economy

How many Jobs added in March?

>275k (Feb #)

$63k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will U.S. inflation be from June to July?

All

What will U.S. inflation be from June to July?

More than 0.0%

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
39
Ended
U
US recession in 2025?

Economy·Business

US recession in 2025?

No

$11.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
707
Ended
J
January Unemployment Rate

Economy·Business

January Unemployment Rate

≤4.0%

$48k Vol.
$0 Liq.
45
Ended
H
How many Jobs added in July?

Politics·Business

How many Jobs added in July?

100-150k

$29k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
H
How many Jobs added in April?

jobs · us jobs

How many Jobs added in April?

150-200k

$63k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
#
# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?

Politics·Trump

# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?

<50

$326k Vol.
$0 Liq.
51
Ended
F
Fed Interest Rates: July 2024

Finance·Fed Rates

Fed Interest Rates: July 2024

No Change

$2.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
6,516
Ended
F
Fed Interest Rates: March 2024

Finance·All

Fed Interest Rates: March 2024

No change

$282k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6,519
Ended

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