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Employment Rate Predictions & Odds· 114 markets

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S
September Unemployment Rate

Economy·jobs

September Unemployment Rate

39%

4.1%

$21k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

Economy·CPI

US economic state at the end of 2026?

67%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$96k Vol.
$6k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

Economy·Macro Indicators

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5%

5.0%

$517k Vol.
$14k Liq.
21
Ends in 6 months
H
How many jobs added in September?

Economy·NFP

How many jobs added in September?

38%

50k to 100k

$11k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech·AI

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

91%

Up

$26k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

Economy·jobs

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

29%

7.1M to 7.2M

$12k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
E
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

Economy·Macro Indicators

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

48%

0-1.0%

$54k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
W
What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?

Mentions·Fed

What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?

Rate / Cut

$178k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Kevin Warsh say during his Swearing-In?

Politics·Trump

What will Kevin Warsh say during his Swearing-In?

America / American 2+ times

$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Powell say during his speech on October 14?

Mentions · Economy

What will Powell say during his speech on October 14?

Employment / Unemployment 15+ times

$221k Vol.
$0 Liq.
72
Ended
W
What will Powell say during his speech at Jackson Hole on August 22?

Mentions·Economic Policy

What will Powell say during his speech at Jackson Hole on August 22?

Inflation 50+ times

$275k Vol.
$0 Liq.
74
Ended
U
Unemployment rate over 4.2% in August?

Politics·Business

Unemployment rate over 4.2% in August?

No

$18k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended
U
Unemployment rate over 4.1% in October?

Economy·unemployment

Unemployment rate over 4.1% in October?

No

$517k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended
U
Unemployment rate over 4.2% in September?

Economy·Business

Unemployment rate over 4.2% in September?

No

$16k Vol.
$0 Liq.
11
Ended
S
Sept-Nov Unemployment Rate - U.K.

Economy·UK

Sept-Nov Unemployment Rate - U.K.

5.1%

$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W

All

What will be the U-3 unemployment rate in January?

$20k Vol.
$0 Liq.
J
January 2026 Unemployment Rate - Japan

Economy·Macro Indicators

January 2026 Unemployment Rate - Japan

≥2.7%

$431k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
I
Indian Unemployment Rate Up/Down in February?

Economy·unemployment

Indian Unemployment Rate Up/Down in February?

Down

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
J
January Unemployment Rate

Economy·Business

January Unemployment Rate

≤4.0%

$48k Vol.
$0 Liq.
45
Ended
D
December 2025 Unemployment Rate - Japan

Economy·unemployment

December 2025 Unemployment Rate - Japan

2.4%

$9k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

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