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Employment Rate Predictions & Odds· 143 markets

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S
September Unemployment Rate

Economy·jobs

September Unemployment Rate

39%

4.1%

$21k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

Economy·CPI

US economic state at the end of 2026?

67%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$97k Vol.
$6k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

Economy·Macro Indicators

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5%

5.0%

$517k Vol.
$14k Liq.
21
Ends in 6 months
E
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

Economy·Macro Indicators

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

48%

0-1.0%

$54k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
W
What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?

Mentions·Fed

What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?

Rate / Cut

$178k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Kevin Warsh say during his Swearing-In?

Politics·Trump

What will Kevin Warsh say during his Swearing-In?

America / American 2+ times

$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Powell say during his speech on October 14?

Mentions · Economy

What will Powell say during his speech on October 14?

Employment / Unemployment 15+ times

$221k Vol.
$0 Liq.
72
Ended
W
What will Powell say during his speech at Jackson Hole on August 22?

Mentions·Economic Policy

What will Powell say during his speech at Jackson Hole on August 22?

Inflation 50+ times

$275k Vol.
$0 Liq.
74
Ended
U
Unemployment rate over 4.2% in August?

Politics·Business

Unemployment rate over 4.2% in August?

No

$18k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended
U
Unemployment rate over 4.1% in October?

Economy·unemployment

Unemployment rate over 4.1% in October?

No

$517k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended
U
Unemployment rate over 4.2% in September?

Economy·Business

Unemployment rate over 4.2% in September?

No

$16k Vol.
$0 Liq.
11
Ended
S
Sept-Nov Unemployment Rate - U.K.

Economy·UK

Sept-Nov Unemployment Rate - U.K.

5.1%

$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W

All

What will be the U-3 unemployment rate in January?

$20k Vol.
$0 Liq.
J
January 2026 Unemployment Rate - Japan

Economy·Macro Indicators

January 2026 Unemployment Rate - Japan

≥2.7%

$431k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
September Unemployment Rate

Economy·Macro Indicators

September Unemployment Rate

4.3%

$347k Vol.
$0 Liq.
23
Ended
N
November Unemployment Rate

Economy·Jobs Report

November Unemployment Rate

≥4.6%

$182k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
D
December 2025 Unemployment Rate - Japan

Economy·unemployment

December 2025 Unemployment Rate - Japan

2.4%

$9k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
M
March Unemployment Rate

Economy·Recurring

March Unemployment Rate

4.2%

$57k Vol.
$0 Liq.
45
Ended
F
February Unemployment Rate

Economy·Rewards 20, 4.5, 50

February Unemployment Rate

4.1%

$225k Vol.
$0 Liq.
45
Ended
M
March Unemployment Rate

Economy·Macro Indicators

March Unemployment Rate

4.3%

$308k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

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