Uptspt 2024 Predictions & Odds· 5284 markets

W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

51%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$117 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will FactSet (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?

65%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$343 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

99%

Florida

$414k Vol.
$201k Liq.
5
Ends in about 1 month
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?

63%

2

$29k Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

6%

Yes

$147k Vol.
$8k Liq.
9
Ends in 6 months
H
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

45%

1

$1.2m Vol.
$7k Liq.
8
Ends in 6 months
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

8%

Yes

$268k Vol.
$16k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$244k Liq.
35
Ended
F
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

11%

December 31

$1.1m Vol.
$83k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Paychex (PAYX) beat quarterly earnings?

40%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$393 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
W
Will General Mills (GIS) beat quarterly earnings?

84%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$208 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Conagra (CAG) beat quarterly earnings?

68%

Yes

$889 Vol.
$153 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?

56%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$741 Liq.
Ended
U
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

7%

Yes

$186k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

14%

Yes

$1.7m Vol.
$12k Liq.
62
Ended
W
Will Cintas (CTAS) beat quarterly earnings?

46%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$298 Liq.
Ends in 1 day