Natural Disasters Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

N
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

21%

Yes

$247k Vol.
$1k Liq.
17
Ends in 5 months
G
Government shutdown by October 1?

Government shutdown by October 1?

2%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$330 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

49%

14–16

$1.5m Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 21 - September 27?

30%

≤6

$623 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
H
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 14 - September 20?

64%

≤6

$32k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$900k Vol.
$234k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
H
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide  September 14 - September 20?

81%

1

$10k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
N
Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition

Yes

$50k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended
H
How many named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

19+

$129k Vol.
$14 Liq.
Ended
'
'Twisters' Opening Weekend Box Office

>$61m

$75k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
'
'The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare' over $8m opening weekend?

Yes

$62k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
M
Maersk resume shipping in Red Sea by...?

All · trade

Maersk resume shipping in Red Sea by...?

June 30

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
27
Ended
#
# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

<125

$283k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
W
Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by...?

September 10

$152k Vol.
$0 Liq.
20
Ended
I
Israel ground offensive in Rafah when?

Gaza · Israel

Israel ground offensive in Rafah when?

Not by April 19

$28k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
#
# of named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

>14

$220k Vol.
$0 Liq.
15
Ended
M
Megaquake in September?

Megaquake in September?

No

$90k Vol.
$0 Liq.
19
Ended
H
How many named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

climate · climate & weather

How many named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

16-20

$5.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
43
Ended
M
Megaquake by September 30?

No

$87k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended