Uptspt 2024 Predictions & Odds· 5291 markets

W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which Dems will underperform Kamala?

Which Dems will underperform Kamala?

60%

Tina Kotek: OR-Gov

$2k Vol.
$19k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

53%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$997 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will FactSet (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?

70%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$543 Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

99%

Florida

$415k Vol.
$211k Liq.
5
Ends in about 1 month
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?

62%

2

$30k Vol.
$64k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

6%

Yes

$147k Vol.
$10k Liq.
9
Ends in 6 months
H
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

47%

1

$1.2m Vol.
$8k Liq.
8
Ends in 6 months
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

8%

Yes

$268k Vol.
$17k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$280k Liq.
35
Ended
F
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

14%

December 31

$1.1m Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will McCormick (MKC) beat quarterly earnings?

59%

Yes

$397 Vol.
$195 Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Will Conagra (CAG) beat quarterly earnings?

65%

Yes

$955 Vol.
$190 Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?

37%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$333 Liq.
Ended
U
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

6%

Yes

$186k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

12%

Yes

$1.8m Vol.
$11k Liq.
62
Ended
W
Will Carnival (CCL) beat quarterly earnings?

90%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 1 day