Treaty Predictions & Odds· 172 markets

W
Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?

7%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

32%

No Meeting by December 31

$30k Vol.
$156k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

72%

December 31, 2026

$47k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026?

Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026?

9%

Yes

$348 Vol.
$346 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$315 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
C
Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

19%

Yes

$330 Vol.
$870 Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
C
Canada becomes EU Associate Member by...?

40%

December 31, 2027

$4k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

31%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$972 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?

17%

October 31

$16k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?

1%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

5%

December 31

$662k Vol.
$18k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

41%

December 31

$203k Vol.
$41k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
U
US x North Korea diplomatic meeting by...?

25%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$232 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
N
North Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by...? (direct or indirect)

67%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$119 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

34%

October 31

$2.7m Vol.
$51k Liq.
155
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

13%

December 31

$18.2m Vol.
$458k Liq.
🔥$69k today
157
Ended
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

8%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$39k Liq.
8
Ends in 6 days
A
Another NATO article 4 by...?

Another NATO article 4 by...?

59%

December 31

$171k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

1%

Yes

$98k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 6 days