Supreme Leader Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

K
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

4%

Yes

$197k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

26%

June 30, 2027

$25.8m Vol.
$773k Liq.
1,090
Ends in 9 months
M
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

20%

December 31

$7.2m Vol.
$112k Liq.
407
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Faker become president of South Korea by the end of the year?

lol · Sports

Will Faker become president of South Korea by the end of the year?

1%

Yes

$172 Vol.
$674 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

84%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$39.5m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
155
Ends in 3 months
K
Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?

Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?

3%

Yes

$273 Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
M
Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

25%

September 30

$1.8m Vol.
$26k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

5%

Yes

$636k Vol.
$25k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
H
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

5%

Yes

$308k Vol.
$19k Liq.
12
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

36%

None before 2027

$362k Vol.
$625k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
K
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?

10%

Yes

$296k Vol.
$4k Liq.
57
Ends in 3 months
V
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

95%

Delcy Rodríguez

$393k Vol.
$302k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

3%

Yes

$11.8m Vol.
$107k Liq.
53
Ends in 3 months
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

36%

60-79

$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
U
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

3%

Yes

$180k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

7%

Yes

$548k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
X
Xi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by...?

91%

December 31

$48k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
X
Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

4%

Yes

$13.7m Vol.
$439k Liq.
🔥$84k today
709
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$288k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

46%

80-99

$4k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 2 days