Head Of State Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

52%

Nicolás Maduro

$97.0m Vol.
$2.1m Liq.
🔥$847k today
413
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

84%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$39.5m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
155
Ends in 3 months
V
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

95%

Delcy Rodríguez

$393k Vol.
$293k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

3%

Yes

$11.8m Vol.
$107k Liq.
53
Ends in 3 months
U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

5%

Yes

$636k Vol.
$24k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
H
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

5%

Yes

$308k Vol.
$19k Liq.
12
Ends in 3 months
M
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

16%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$18k Liq.
79
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

3%

Yes

$180k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

6%

Yes

$83k Vol.
$21k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

36%

None before 2027

$362k Vol.
$609k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$284k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
K
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?

9%

Yes

$296k Vol.
$5k Liq.
57
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

26%

June 30, 2027

$25.8m Vol.
$779k Liq.
1,089
Ends in 9 months
T
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?

2%

Yes

$685 Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 18 days
M
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

20%

December 31

$7.2m Vol.
$120k Liq.
407
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Croat President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

67%

Darijana Filipović

$41k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
P
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

5%

Yes

$138k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

1%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 18 days
Z
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

7%

Yes

$3.2m Vol.
$96k Liq.
89
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

87%

Željka Cvijanović

$33k Vol.
$70k Liq.
2
Ends in 13 days