Shipping Predictions & Odds· 182 markets

S
Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?

96%

September 21

$33k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
H
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

51%

September 30

$86k Vol.
$144 Liq.
Ended
J
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31?

5%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$710 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$319 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

38%

December 31, 2027

$569k Vol.
$4k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

20%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$965k Vol.
$305k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

98%

October 31

$708k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

66%

↑ $6

$847k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?

26%

US

$49k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

39%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$854 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
When will the Rhine River return to normal levels?

56%

No return before November 1, 2026

$48k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
Peak Severe Drought in Minas Gerais during the Coffee Growing Season?

33%

20% to 39.99%

$8k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
A
AI artwork hits $10M at major auction in 2026?

12%

Yes

$478 Vol.
$436 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US charges Hormuz fees by...?

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

6%

Yes

$984k Vol.
$29k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

34%

October 31

$2.6m Vol.
$72k Liq.
154
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

10%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$38k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 days
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$277k Liq.
35
Ended
I
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

24%

December 31

$3.1m Vol.
$75k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
U
US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

20%

Yes

$436k Vol.
$1k Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
M
Maersk resume shipping in Red Sea by...?

All · trade

Maersk resume shipping in Red Sea by...?

June 30

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
27
Ended